Backtesting Engine
Historical performance of each detector with strict no-look-ahead bias. Statistical hit-rate only — not a guarantee of future returns.
32680 historical fixtures · 8801 signals · seasons 2024, 2025, 2026 · Last run: 02/09/2026, 17:25:35
Historical Statistical Score. This is the Historical Statistical Score — odds-independent pattern strength reconstructed with strict no-look-ahead (historical frequency, recent frequency, sample size, confidence, venue & governing sample, drought/context). It deliberately EXCLUDES bookmaker odds, implied probability and the odds-edge, so it is NOT the live Pattern Score and reaches lower values. Real-odds ROI lives in the Live Track Record.
ROI, profit, average odds and bookmaker are unavailable historically — the data source does not retain pre-match odds beyond ~7 days, and OddsPattern never invents odds. See the Live Track Record for real-odds ROI.
Market
League
Season
Home / Away
Signal level
Min sample size
Stat score range
Confidence range
From date
To date
Fixtures analysed
32,680
8512 w/ signals
Signals
8801
Hit Rate
69.6%
6128W / 2673L
Avg Stat Score
88.2
Avg Confidence
80.7
Staked units
8801u
Est. ROI
—
no odds
By Classification
good
72.4%
5902 bets · 4271W · avg stat score 90.4
ROI —
strong
80.4%
2024 bets · 1627W · avg stat score 95.6
ROI —
| Market | Bets | Wins | Hit Rate | Avg Stat Score | Avg Confidence | Avg Odds | Est. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw | 351 | 95 | 27.1% | 57.1 | 74.7 | — | — |
Winning Margin | 524 | 135 | 25.8% | 56.1 | 84.7 | — | — |
Over/Under | 7926 | 5898 | 74.4% | 91.7 | 0 | — | — |
Over 1.5 | 7466 | 5746 | 77% | 92.3 | 0 | — | — |
Over 3.5 | 73 | 28 | 38.4% | 82 | 0 | — | — |
Over 4.5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 82 | 0 | — | — |
Under 1.5 | 385 | 124 | 32.2% | 81.9 | 0 | — | — |
Over/Under backtest = historical venue-pattern hit rate from prior games only. No verified historical pre-match goal odds, so ROI and the +3% EV filter cannot be reconstructed (shown as —).
Winning Margin split
| Market | Bets | Wins | Hit Rate | Avg Stat Score | Avg Confidence | Avg Odds | Est. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Exactly 1 | 479 | 124 | 25.9% | 56.1 | 84.9 | — | — |
Exactly 2 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 55.6 | 81.6 | — | — |
Exactly 3 | 4 | 1 | 25% | 56.5 | 85.5 | — | — |
4+ | 4 | 1 | 25% | 55.2 | 79.8 | — | — |