Backtesting Engine
Historical performance of each detector with strict no-look-ahead bias. Statistical hit-rate only — not a guarantee of future returns.
32680 historical fixtures · 969 signals · seasons 2024, 2025, 2026 · Last run: 02/09/2026, 17:25:35
Historical Statistical Score. This is the Historical Statistical Score — odds-independent pattern strength reconstructed with strict no-look-ahead (historical frequency, recent frequency, sample size, confidence, venue & governing sample, drought/context). It deliberately EXCLUDES bookmaker odds, implied probability and the odds-edge, so it is NOT the live Pattern Score and reaches lower values. Real-odds ROI lives in the Live Track Record.
ROI, profit, average odds and bookmaker are unavailable historically — the data source does not retain pre-match odds beyond ~7 days, and PatternScope never invents odds. See the Live Track Record for real-odds ROI.
Market
League
Season
Home / Away
Signal level
Min sample size
Stat score range
Confidence range
From date
To date
Fixtures analysed
32,680
919 w/ signals
Signals
969
Hit Rate
25.1%
243W / 726L
Avg Stat Score
56.4
Avg Confidence
80.9
Staked units
969u
Est. ROI
—
no odds
By Classification
watchlist
25.1%
969 bets · 243W · avg stat score 56.4
ROI —
good
—
0 bets · 0W · avg stat score —
ROI —
strong
—
0 bets · 0W · avg stat score —
ROI —
| Market | Bets | Wins | Hit Rate | Avg Stat Score | Avg Confidence | Avg Odds | Est. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw | 351 | 95 | 27.1% | 57.1 | 74.7 | — | — |
Exact Score | 94 | 13 | 13.8% | 55.8 | 83.4 | — | — |
Winning Margin | 524 | 135 | 25.8% | 56.1 | 84.7 | — | — |
Winning Margin split
| Market | Bets | Wins | Hit Rate | Avg Stat Score | Avg Confidence | Avg Odds | Est. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Exactly 1 | 479 | 124 | 25.9% | 56.1 | 84.9 | — | — |
Exactly 2 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 55.6 | 81.6 | — | — |
Exactly 3 | 4 | 1 | 25% | 56.5 | 85.5 | — | — |
4+ | 4 | 1 | 25% | 55.2 | 79.8 | — | — |
Scorelines (≥5 obs)
| Score | Bets | Wins | Hit Rate | Avg Stat Score | Avg Confidence | Avg Odds | Est. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1-1 | 36 | 5 | 13.9% | 55.8 | 84.2 | — | — |
1-0 | 29 | 7 | 24.1% | 55.9 | 83.7 | — | — |
0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0% | 56 | 84.1 | — | — |
0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 55.3 | 80.3 | — | — |
2-1 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 55.6 | 82.2 | — | — |
2-0 | 5 | 1 | 20% | 55.4 | 80.8 | — | — |